Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031435 0.033800 0.036165 0.038702 0.041345 0.044013 0.046907
2025-09-14 0.026301 0.030017 0.033861 0.038118 0.042684 0.047421 0.052692
2025-09-21 0.022965 0.027422 0.032150 0.037505 0.043369 0.049565 0.056575
2025-09-28 0.020148 0.025072 0.030415 0.036587 0.043465 0.050843 0.059305
2025-10-05 0.018966 0.024398 0.030401 0.037441 0.045391 0.054015 0.064006
2025-10-12 0.017676 0.023486 0.030018 0.037789 0.046672 0.056409 0.067791
2025-10-19 0.016227 0.022284 0.029215 0.037579 0.047253 0.057962 0.070587
2025-10-26 0.015664 0.022085 0.029535 0.038622 0.049230 0.061060 0.075095
2025-11-02 0.014710 0.021351 0.029173 0.038827 0.050204 0.062992 0.078263
2025-11-09 0.013677 0.020460 0.028572 0.038706 0.050763 0.064420 0.080833
2025-11-16 0.012789 0.019701 0.028092 0.038691 0.051416 0.065930 0.083478
2025-11-23 0.011789 0.018746 0.027327 0.038295 0.051586 0.066856 0.085427
2025-11-30 0.010846 0.017875 0.026698 0.038122 0.052103 0.068292 0.088104
2025-12-07 0.009753 0.016759 0.025736 0.037529 0.052121 0.069162 0.090161
2025-12-14 0.008757 0.015709 0.024803 0.036922 0.052083 0.069932 0.092072
2025-12-21 0.007730 0.014547 0.023668 0.036013 0.051632 0.070177 0.093335
2025-12-28 0.007452 0.014440 0.023916 0.036859 0.053342 0.073008 0.097661
2026-01-04 0.007015 0.014069 0.023789 0.037204 0.054416 0.075067 0.101065
2026-01-11 0.006418 0.013421 0.023256 0.036995 0.054778 0.076249 0.103412
2026-01-18 0.006279 0.013465 0.023670 0.038029 0.056707 0.079341 0.108056
2026-01-25 0.005882 0.013079 0.023467 0.038232 0.057572 0.081126 0.111125
2026-02-01 0.005413 0.012549 0.023037 0.038112 0.058011 0.082379 0.113545
2026-02-08 0.005009 0.012096 0.022697 0.038097 0.058573 0.083776 0.116134